- AAVE’s third weekly SuperTrend buy signal follows past gains of 867% and 551%, raising expectations for another strong price rally.
- Price remains above the 50-day EMA at $281.49, with low-volume pullback suggesting market strength and potential for further upward movement.Â
- Immediate resistance stands at $320-$325, with historic projections looking for a price target of $1,050 to $1,500 if the same bullish price action develops from these levels.
Aave (AAVE) has registered a fresh weekly SuperTrend buy signal, marking the third such occurrence in its trading history and drawing attention from traders who track high-timeframe momentum shifts.
Historical Performance of AAVE’s Weekly SuperTrend
According to market analyst Ali (@ali_charts), the last two times the weekly SuperTrend flipped bullish, AAVE experienced extraordinary rallies. The first signal appeared in late 2020, preceding an 867% surge to nearly $660 after a prolonged consolidation period.
The second bullish signal came in late 2023 and was followed by a 551% rise to around $360. Both instances occurred after extended accumulation phases, during which volatility compressed and the SuperTrend’s grey cloud flattened before price acceleration.
The SuperTrend has turned bullish once again at $306.55 in August 2025. In the past, we have seen this type of momentum lead to upside targets of between $1,050 and $1,500. Again, these levels are not guaranteed, but it is not uncommon for the signal to precede multi-month rallies of substantial size.
Technical Structure and Market Fundamentals
Dami-Defi observed that AAVE’s fundamentals have strengthened considerably. Total value locked (TVL) has increased tenfold since bottoming in December 2022, while the USDT supply within the protocol has risen 123% year-to-date, approaching $7.5 billion.
Price action too is also supportive of a positive outlook. AAVE is currently trading $294.71, and shows a -3.23% decline in 24 hours and a +10.77% gain in the weekly time frame. Price is still above the 50-day EMA which sits at $281.49. Therefore it is possible that AAVE is in a normal pullback and retest, rather than starting to reverse.
Volume accompanying the pullback has been modest, implying sellers are not dominating. This type of movement can help strengthen a base for continuation if buyers re-enter the market with conviction.
Key Price Levels and Potential Path Forward
Technical analysis shows $281-285 as immediate support, close to the area of the 50 day EMA, and would maintain bullish structure if price flows above $281-285. The first area of resistance is $320-325, but if we breakout above this level, we can see price moving toward $345-350.
If AAVE replicates its 867% historical rally, prices could reach around $1,500. A repeat of the 551% run would project levels near $1,050. Both scenarios remain dependent on broader market sentiment, liquidity conditions, and Bitcoin’s trend.
Given the SuperTrend’s historical reliability on the weekly timeframe for AAVE, traders and analysts are now monitoring closely for early confirmation of another major upward cycle.
