- Bitcoin PRICE fell -10.04%, -6.59 and -10.64 per cent following the previous three CPI releases, with an average of -9 per cent.
- BTC rejections at the levels of approximately 120K were caused by every release of CPI, and therefore it is a significant resistance area.
- The biggest CPI-based decline in BTC was -$12,798 on August 12, 2025, and this decline came after a fake breakout that occurred above the 122K
Bitcoin price has established an observable trend of steep falls after recent CPI releases, where each release has succeeded by an average fall of 9%. This repeat price movement underscores increasing sensitivity of the market to price information as well as macroeconomic strains. The risk-off behavior of traders is an incessant and immediate response that results in selloffs. Since CPI days have become significant volatility events, it is essential to comprehend these responses to navigate the market of short-term Bitcoin prices.
CPI Shockwaves: Bitcoin Price -9% Average Drop Signals Key Market Vulnerability
Bitcoin Price has shown a pronounced and long-term response to the recent reports on the CPI (Consumer Price Index) and has been responding on average to a -9% decline after each publication. This tendency is well depicted in the chart that demonstrates that there is a close relationship between macroeconomic data and price volatility.
On June 11, 2025, BTC fell by circa $13,338 (-10.04) after the announcement of CPI. This was following a sideways consolidation that indicated that investors were setting up macro triggers. The bearish drive reaffirmed a rejection at resistance and a downward trend was initiated.
The July 15, 2025 CPI announcement adhered to the same script. Bitcoin tried to break out of its range at above $120,000 but could not hold. This added to a negative 7,900 (-6.59) change to support the bearish mood following CPI and illustrating the strength of resistance zones in the face of macro pressure.
The biggest was the response following the August $12, 2025 CPI print. BTC suffered a sharp $12,798 (-10.64%) drop. This action was preceded by a fake breakout beyond $122,000 creating a bearish engulfing candle that inverted previous bullish drive. It was a major defeat in one of the critical supply areas.
These recurrent selloffs solidify the concept that CPI data serves as a vital inflection sign to BTC and triggers risk-off across the market. The average -9% drop after the CPI points out the significance of such events, as Ali highlights in his Twitter post Ali Chart.
In future, traders would be advised to be careful on CPI dates. Resistance stands at a solid level of $120,000, and the support is at the level of $106,000-108000. A greater volatility and a possible decline risk may be experienced when the next CPI releases occur.
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