- A rising wedge pattern on the $SOL/ETH weekly chart signals a potential bearish breakdown as price nears the lower support zone.
- Bearish RSI divergence has formed since 2023, with weakening momentum in Solana while Ethereum maintains a stronger technical posture.
- Ethereum is backed by ETF momentum and institutional demand, positioning it for stronger performance as Solana lacks short-term drivers.
The $SOL/ETH weekly chart is showing strong technical signs that Ethereum may outperform Solana for the remainder of 2025.
Rising Wedge Pattern Nearing Breakdown
A key feature on the $SOL/ETH chart is a rising wedge formation that has developed over more than a year. Crypto analyst CryptoBullet recently shared the chart on social platform X, stating that the wedge has maintained structure consistently—indicating this is a major signal on a high timeframe.
Currently, it’s priced around the bottom of the wedge, meaning declining pressure is accumulating. Candlestick behavior near this top apex area has a tendency to produce a breakout. In this case, the pattern suggests a bearish breakdown may be next.
A red arrow drawn on the chart projects a sharp decline in the pair should the wedge fail. This would reflect Ethereum outperforming Solana as capital shifts toward ETH in the near term.
RSI Divergence Supports Bearish View
Alongside the wedge, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the weekly timeframe paints a concerning picture for Solana. Bearish divergence has formed—with lower RSI highs while price creates higher highs—a classic warning sign of weakening momentum.
According to the same chart shared by CryptoBullet, this divergence has been forming since late 2023 and has persisted throughout 2024. The RSI trend continues downward, weakening the bullish case for Solana against Ethereum.
This sustained loss of momentum adds another layer of validation to the wedge pattern. If the RSI fails to recover while the price holds within this structure, the probability of a breakdown increases sharply.
Ethereum Strength May Accelerate Breakdown
Ethereum appears to be gaining strength due to multiple upcoming catalysts. These include strong institutional interest, ETF narratives, and bullish macro setups previously seen on ETH charts. As a result, investor capital may continue rotating into Ethereum positions.
Meanwhile, Solana lacks a similar catalyst in the near term. Without fresh drivers, it may struggle to keep pace with Ethereum—particularly in ETH pair terms. CryptoBullet suggested this imbalance may lead to Ethereum “crushing” Solana in performance soon.
If Ethereum continues gaining momentum, the wedge support may fail, accelerating the downside for the $SOL/ETH pair. The combined pattern and divergence signals suggest the trend may shift in Ethereum’s favor for the months ahead.
