- Altcoin market cap breaks past $1.17T resistance, triggering signals of a potential full-scale alt season rally.
- Fractal patterns mirror 2021, with analysts eyeing a possible 230% surge and $2T–$2.6T upside for TOTAL3.
- Bitcoin dominance dropped as capital began rotating into mid and low-cap altcoins.
The altcoin market, excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum, has broken a resistance zone, signaling the possible start of a new alt season.Technical patterns now point toward upside potential in the coming weeks.
Cup & Handle Breakout Ignites Bullish Sentiment
The weekly chart of TOTAL3—which tracks the total crypto market cap excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum—has confirmed a breakout from a textbook Cup and Handle pattern. According to analyst Johncy Crypto, this bullish continuation setup formed over nearly three years, with the rounded cup starting in late 2021 and the handle forming from mid-2024 through late 2025.
The altcoin market has finally broken past the tough resistance zone between $1.1T and $1.17T, a level that’s capped rallies before. With a solid weekly close near $1.2T, momentum looks strong.
Analysts are eyeing $1.5T as the next big milestone, with $2T on the radar if the trend holds. Backing this move, the 50-week moving average is pushing upward, acting as solid support. Plus, RSI remains healthy above 50—showing strength without tipping into overbought territory.
A spike in the Volume Profile Visible Range (VRVP) between $650B–$880B supports the idea of strong historical accumulation—now acting as a launchpad for further growth.
Fractal Pattern Echoes 2021 Altseason Surge
Analyst Quantum Ascend drew comparisons between the 2021 and 2025 TOTAL3 charts, identifying a near-identical setup that preceded a 230% rally in just 77 days. Back then, the altcoin market catapulted from $354B to $1.17T, driven by breakout momentum from a multi-year base.
Now in 2025, the structure is eerily similar.If this breakout sustains, Fibonacci extension levels place next potential stops between $1.66T and $2.69T.
Such a move would align with a projected parabolic run into Q4 2025, with some analysts even suggesting a December peak if history repeats itself.
Bitcoin Dominance Drop Hints Rotation To Altcoins
Bitcoin Dominance is sitting at 58%, just shy of its 2025 peak at 65.1%. Historically, when dominance peaks and starts to dip, altcoins take the spotlight. At the same time, Ethereum’s share has slipped to 13.3%, while smaller-cap altcoins are gaining ground, now holding 28.8% of the market. This shift hints that money is starting to flow out of majors and into riskier, high-reward alts.
Adding further weight to the trend, CoinShares reported record net inflows of $5.95 billion into global crypto investment products last week. U.S.-based funds led the charge with $5 billion, driven by spot ETF demand and bullish sentiment following a U.S. rate cut and weak job data.
